Levee effects upon flood levels: an empirical assessment   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Reuben A. Heine  Nicholas Pinter 《水文研究》2012,26(21):3225-3240

This study used stream gauge records to assess the impact of levees on flood levels, providing an empirical test of theoretical and model predictions of the effects on local flood response. Focusing upon a study area in Illinois and Iowa for which levee records were available, we identified 203 gauges with ≥ 50 years hydrological record, including 15 gauges where a levee was constructed during the period of record. At these sites, step‐change analysis utilizing regression residuals tested levee‐related stage changes and levels of significance and quantified the magnitudes of stage changes. Despite large differences in stream sizes, levee alignments, and degree of floodplain constriction, the post‐levee rating‐curve adjustments showed consistent signatures. For all the study sites, stages for below bankfull (non‐flood) conditions were unaffected by levee construction. For above bankfull (flood) conditions, stages at sites downstream of their associated levees also were statistically indistinguishable before versus after levee construction. However, at all sites upstream of levees or within leveed reaches, stages increased for above bankfull conditions. These increases were abrupt, statistically significant, and generally large in magnitude – ranging up to 2.3 m (Wabash River at Mt. Carmel, IL). Stage increases began when discharge increased above bankfull flow and generally increased in magnitude with discharge until the associated levee(s) were overtopped. Detailed site assessments and supplementary data available from some sites helped document the dominant mechanisms by which levees can increase flood levels. Levee construction reduces the area of the floodplain open to storage of flood waters and reduces the width of the floodplain open to conveyance of flood flow. Floodplain conveyance often is underestimated or ignored, but Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements analysed here confirm previous studies that up to 70% or more of the total discharge during large floods (~3% chance flood) can move over the floodplain. Upstream of levees and levee‐related floodplain constriction, backwater effects reduce flow velocities relative to pre‐levee conditions and, thus, increase stages for a given discharge. The empirical results here confirm a variety of theoretical predictions of levee effects but suggest that many one‐dimensional model‐based predictions of levee‐related stage changes may underestimate actual levee impacts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

濮阳地区油田注水引起的重力场变化与地震活动性的关系     

徐顺强  秦建增  李真  梁晨曦  周彬  潘晖 《华北地震科学》2012,(2):23-27

收集了1995—2007年中原油田濮阳地区各油田的注水开采等质量迁移资料,利用图示法研究发现油田注水与区域地震活动之间存在一定联系,并定量计算了油田注水引起的重力变化量。结合重力复测资料对油田注水引起的重力场变化和该地区地震之间的关系进行了初步研究,其注采作业引起的重力场变化在±0.1～10×10-8 m.s-2之间,并随着油田中心区域的距离而衰减。  相似文献   

1736-2010年华南前汛期始日变化   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

丁玲玲  葛全胜  郑景云  郝志新 《地理学报》2014,69(3):303-311

根据清代华南雨雪分寸记载的内容、特点,参照华南地区前汛期降水特征,提出了利用雨雪分寸记载重建华南前汛期开始时间的方法,重建了1736-1911 年福州与广州前汛期开始日期变化序列;并利用福州与广州（分别始于1953 和1952 年）逐日降水观测记录辨识了器测时期两地前汛期的逐年开始时间;据此分析了过去300 年华南前汛期开始日期的年-年代际变化特征。结果表明：1736-2010 年间,福州、广州两地前汛期开始时间平均为5 月第1 候;但存在显著的年际和年代际波动,其中重建时段（1736-1911 年）的主周期为2~3 年、准10 年和准40年,器测时段的主周期为2~3 年、准10 年和准22 年。在年际尺度,重建时段福州和广州前汛期开始时间最早的年份均为4 月第4 候,最晚的年份则分别为5 月第6 候和6 月第1 候;而器测时段两地前汛期开始时间的最早年、最晚年均为4 月第4 候和6 月第1 候。在年代际尺度,重建时段福州和广州相邻年代最大变幅分别为2.2 候和1.6 候;器测时段福州和广州相邻年代最大变幅则分别为2.5 候和2.4 候。  相似文献   

青藏高原典型植被生长季遥感模型提取分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

常清  王思远  孙云晓  殷慧  尹航 《地球信息科学学报》2014,16(5):823-816

物候变化是衡量全球气候变化最直接、敏感的指示器,针对青藏高原这个独特地域单元上特殊的高寒植被进行关键物候期遥感提取模型及植被物候时空变化的研究具有重要的意义。本文首先以反距离加权空间插值算法与Savitzky-Golay滤波算法相结合的数据重建模型获得高质量2003-2012年青藏高原MODIS归一化植被指数(NDVI)数据。在此数据基础上,分别利用动态阈值法、最大变化斜率法、logistic曲线拟合法3种遥感植被生长季提取模型,对青藏高原地区两种典型植被的生长季(SOS生长季开始期,EOS生长季结束期,LOS生长季长度)进行提取。通过对3种模型提取结果的对比分析,并结合日均温模型对提取结果的验证发现,动态阈值法为青藏高原地区典型植被生长季的最优遥感提取模型。该模型对近10 a的高分辨率典型高寒植被物候参量的反演及时空变化特征分析表明,受青藏高原水热及海拔梯度的影响,青藏高原植被物候变化呈现出从东南向西北的空间分异规律,随春季温度的升高,近10 a来青藏高原高寒草地总体呈现生长季开始期(SOS)提前(0.248 d/a)的趋势。  相似文献   

塔里木河下游漫溢区土壤种子库及幼苗库特征     

傅荩仪  徐海量  安红燕  赵新风  白元 《中国沙漠》2013,33(6):1705-1710

结合土壤种子库萌发实验和幼苗库野外调查,研究塔里木河下游漫溢区土壤种子库和幼苗库特征及两者之间的差异,同时对不同微地形条件下两者多个生态指标进行分析比较。结果显示:（1）土壤种子库和幼苗库共发现有11科21属22种植物。土壤种子库有效种子密度为681±166个\5m-2,而幼苗库的密度为74±30株·m-2。土壤种子库和幼苗库均以多年生草本植物为主。（2）土壤种子库的Margalef指数值显著大于幼苗库,Simpson指数和Shannon-Wiener指数的值则略大于幼苗库。土壤种子库和幼苗库之间的物种相似度为0.553。（3）在不同微地形条件下,土壤种子库和幼苗库的密度和多样性指数变化趋势有所不同,但总体上均表现为土壤种子库大于幼苗库。  相似文献   

Topographic changes of a supply‐limited inland parabolic sand dune during the incipient phase of stabilization     

Chris H. Hugenholtz 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2010,35(14):1674-1681

Topographic surveys on an inland parabolic sand dune over a six‐year period provide insight into the effects of diminishing local sand supply on dune stabilization. During the interval (2003–2009) sparse vegetation cover (Psoralea lanceolata) increased despite drier than normal moisture conditions and steady wind power during the growing season. Whereas these climatic conditions are typically ascribed to sustaining or increasing dune activity, here they coincide with stabilization. Through the use of geographic information system (GIS) analysis of volumetric changes it is shown that the increase of P. lanceolata can be attributed to the reduction of local sand supply from two blowouts along the arms of the parabolic dune during the six‐year period. These results show that climate is not the only control on dune activity in vegetated inland dunefields. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Characteristics of climate change in the “significant impact zone” affected by aerosols over eastern China in warm seasons   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

SHI XiaoHui  XU XiangDe  XIE LiAn State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather  Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences  Beijing  China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2008,(5)

Through analysis of the distribution pattern and changing characteristics of atmospheric aerosols over the East Asia region during warm seasons in recent 20 a and beyond as well as their possible interac- tive relationship with a variety of meteorological elements, it is found that the high-value zone of aerosol optical depth derived from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS), its significant negative correlation zones in terms of sunshine duration (SD) and surface air temperature (SAT) and its significant positive correlation zones with low-level cloud amount (LCC) are co-located in the South China region during warm periods. Based on this finding, the region is referred to as a "significant impact zone" (SI zone) affected by aerosols. Then, a comparative analysis is made on variation differ- ences of observed SAT, SD and LCC, etc. in different regions. It is also found that the LCC is increased and the SD is decreased within the "SI zone" over eastern China during the warm season. These characteristics are more evident than those beyond the zone, while the warming trend within the zone is evidently weaker than that outside it. Studies show that since recent 20 a, under the influence of aerosols, the LCC tend to increase substantially with a clear decrease of SD and an unnoticeable warming trend within the "SI zone". Comparing with the climate change beyond the zone, the difference is significant. Therefore, the effects of atmospheric aerosols on climate is possibly one of the contri- butions to the difference of climate change existed between the southern and northern parts of the Eastern China during a warm season.  相似文献   

投影寻踪回归与BP神经网络方法在前汛期降水预测中的比较研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

杨永生  何平 《气象与环境学报》2008,24(1):14-17

以1962—2006年粤北地区7个站4—6月前汛期降水量资料为基础,将前汛期降水量与74项环流指数资料进行灰色关联度分析,确定了影响粤北地区前汛期降水量的16个关键环流指数因子,分别应用投影寻踪回归、BP神经网络和逐步回归方法,建立前汛期降水趋势预测模型,对粤北地区前汛期降水趋势进行预测。结果表明:投影寻踪回归和BP神经网络方法的预测能力均优于传统的逐步回归模型。其中,PPR模型比BP神经网络方法的预测效果更好。  相似文献   

厦门文昌鱼人工繁殖和幼虫发育及其变态的研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

方永强  翁幼竹  戴燕玉  吕小梅  方少华  张跃平 《海洋学报》2005,27(4):102-107

用组织学和胚胎学方法对厦门国家级自然保护区文昌鱼的生殖季节、胚胎发育和幼虫培育进行详细研究,结果表明,自然保护区文昌鱼生殖季节可分为两个繁殖时期,从6月初开始至7月初为繁殖高峰期,8和9月为繁殖小产期.观察人工繁殖得出,文昌鱼(Branchiostoma belcheri)产卵时间在傍晚19:00前后,可以观察到雌、雄文昌鱼的产卵和排精行为:雄性文昌鱼先离开沙,并跃出水面快速游动和排精,接着雌鱼也跃出水面,所有的卵通过破裂的性腺壁进入到围鳃腔并通过围鳃孔到水中受精,受精率在98.5%以上,还观察了文昌鱼幼虫发育并变态为幼鱼(长度为1.05～13.5mm)的全过程.  相似文献   

ON STRONG SIGNALS OF MONTHLY PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES IN EARLY RAINING SEASON OF GUANGDONG AND CONCEPTUAL MODELS OF PREDICTION     

林爱兰 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2002,8(2):150-157

Reanalysis data from NCEP/NCAR are used to systematically study preceding signals of monthly precipitation anomalies in the early raining season of Guangdong province, from the viewpoints of 500-hPa geopotential height field, outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) field, sea surface temperature (SST) and fourteen indexes of general circulation depicting atmosphere activity at high, middle and low latitutes. Being multiple tools of information, a number of conceptual models are formulated that are useful for prediction of the magnitude of monthly precipitation (drought, flood and normal conditionss).  相似文献